Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.045481 0.049497 0.053567 0.057994 0.062667 0.067445 0.072694
2024-10-27 0.039433 0.045381 0.051633 0.058666 0.066333 0.074409 0.083535
2024-11-03 0.033894 0.041127 0.048991 0.058114 0.068341 0.079395 0.092182
2024-11-10 0.029915 0.038131 0.047345 0.058327 0.070947 0.084883 0.101326
2024-11-17 0.026981 0.035994 0.046393 0.059091 0.073996 0.090763 0.110875
2024-11-24 0.025682 0.035613 0.047345 0.061958 0.079409 0.099330 0.123533
2024-12-01 0.022197 0.032260 0.044487 0.060077 0.079066 0.101104 0.128267
2024-12-08 0.019812 0.030070 0.042862 0.059512 0.080147 0.104439 0.134750
2024-12-15 0.017847 0.028251 0.041550 0.059201 0.081428 0.107937 0.141380
2024-12-22 0.017113 0.028000 0.042186 0.061296 0.085651 0.114980 0.152282
2024-12-29 0.016048 0.027203 0.042037 0.062331 0.088516 0.120362 0.161199
2025-01-05 0.015010 0.026358 0.041754 0.063137 0.091058 0.125333 0.169626
2025-01-12 0.013427 0.024645 0.040247 0.062316 0.091546 0.127830 0.175149
2025-01-19 0.012548 0.023907 0.040035 0.063190 0.094214 0.133067 0.184103
2025-01-26 0.011323 0.022543 0.038864 0.062701 0.095057 0.135984 0.190178
2025-02-02 0.010436 0.021636 0.038286 0.062978 0.096879 0.140135 0.197810
2025-02-09 0.009785 0.021051 0.038132 0.063811 0.099423 0.145207 0.206622
2025-02-16 0.009770 0.021510 0.039531 0.066849 0.104968 0.154199 0.220476
2025-02-23 0.008489 0.019726 0.037468 0.064876 0.103648 0.154234 0.222884
2025-03-02 0.007656 0.018642 0.036406 0.064285 0.104171 0.156646 0.228320
2025-03-09 0.006956 0.017729 0.035558 0.063960 0.105028 0.159476 0.234293
2025-03-16 0.006840 0.017891 0.036416 0.066170 0.109444 0.167057 0.246479
2025-03-23 0.006505 0.017605 0.036533 0.067261 0.112288 0.172556 0.255984